Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao: prediction & betting odds 20 Apr 2025

The Matchday 32 La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Athletic will take place on April 20 at the Santiago Bernabeu Stadium. Real Madrid vs. Athletic: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Real Madrid

The team secured a hard-fought victory in their last away match against Alaves (1-0). This was the fourth win for the capital team in their last five La Liga matches (1 loss). With seven rounds remaining in the 2024/25 La Liga season, Real Madrid is in second place, trailing leaders Barcelona by four points. Additionally, the team boasts the second-best attacking record in the league with 64 goals scored.

  • Exactly two or three goals were scored in 7 of Real Madrid's last 9 La Liga matches.
  • Both teams scored in 7 of the last 9 league matches for the Madrid side.
  • In the last six La Liga matches, the club secured only one victory in the second half (4 draws and 1 loss).

Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (4-4-2)

Thibaut Courtois – Antonio Rudiger, Fran Garcia, Lucas Vazquez, Raul Asensio – Aurelien Tchouameni, Arda Guler, Federico Valverde, Eduardo Camavinga – Rodrygo Goes, Kylian Mbappe.

Due to injuries, defenders Ferland Mendy, Eder Militao, and Dani Carvajal are out. Forward Kylian Mbappe will miss the match due to suspension.

Athletic

The Basques hosted Rayo Vallecano in the last round and defeated the Madrid side 3-1. This was the fifth consecutive unbeaten match in the league, with Ernesto Valverde's team securing two wins and three draws during this run. The team continues to hold fourth place in the standings, six points behind Atletico. Villarreal, in fifth, is also six points behind but has a game in hand.

  • In the last 22 La Liga meetings, the club has lost just once (11 wins and 10 draws).
  • No more than two goals were scored in 5 of Athletic's last 6 league matches.
  • The first half ended in a draw in 10 of the last 13 away matches for the Basques in La Liga.

Predicted lineup for Athletic (4-3-3)

Unai Simon – Andoni Gorosabel, Adama Boiro, Daniel Vivian, Aitor Paredes – Unai Gomez, Benat Prados, Mikel Jaureguizar – Alvaro Djalo, Gorka Guruzeta, Alex Berenguer.

Referee

Juan Martinez Munuera (Spain)

Matches – 15 (La Liga, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 74;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.9;

Red cards shown – 6;

Average fouls per match – 27;

Penalties – 27%.

Real Madrid vs. Athletic: Match Prediction

In the first round, the Basques defeated the capital club 2-1. However, prior to that, Madrid had not lost to this opponent in 18 consecutive La Liga matches, securing 13 wins and 5 draws. At the Santiago Bernabeu, the statistics are even more impressive: Real Madrid's unbeaten streak in the league is 19 matches (16 wins and 3 draws), and they have scored at least two goals in all but four of those games.

Unlike the Basques, who can afford to drop points in the upcoming match, Madrid cannot afford to lose any more precious points. Even a draw is likely to end their chances of competing for the league title. I am confident that Carlo Ancelotti's side will prevail in this encounter, as they need to bounce back from their last home defeat in La Liga against Valencia. Moreover, Real is very strong at their home ground, where they have lost only twice in the last 39 La Liga matches (32 wins and 5 draws).

My prediction – Real Madrid to win

Real Madrid — Athletic Bilbao betting tips 20 Apr 2025

Real Madrid are still firmly in the title race and cannot afford any slip-ups, currently sitting four points behind Barcelona with seven rounds to go. Their Champions League elimination and a recent home loss to Valencia will only increase their desire to respond. Athletic Bilbao are also pushing for a top-four finish, though their current position in the standings gives them some breathing room.

Real Madrid have won four of their last five league outings, with their only defeat coming in stoppage time against Valencia (1:2). They are second in both the league standings and in total goals scored, with 64. At the Santiago Bernabéu, Real Madrid have collected 37 points — the best home record in La Liga — and have scored in 14 of their 15 home fixtures. Kylian Mbappé will miss the game against Athletic Bilbao, but the hosts still have a wealth of attacking talent. Vinícius Júnior, Rodrygo Goes, and Jude Bellingham have netted a combined 25 league goals, while Endrick Sousa has five goals in as many Copa del Rey appearances.

Athletic Bilbao have found it tough away from home this season, suffering defeats against Girona, Barcelona, and Atlético Madrid. They possess the fifth-best attacking record in the league with 49 goals, but defensive vulnerabilities continue to plague them. In eight of their last ten away matches, Athletic Bilbao have made at least one costly defensive mistake. They've also conceded in draws against relegation-threatened opponents such as Real Valladolid (1:1) and Alavés (1:1).

Real Madrid need all three points to stay in the hunt for the title, and the statistics back them up. They are unbeaten in their last 19 home matches against Athletic Bilbao, drawing just three times in that run. Given the visitors' persistent defensive issues on the road, Real Madrid are well placed to take all the points and maintain pressure on Barcelona.

Betting prediction
Real Madrid to win or draw + Total Over 1.5 – Yes
Cf
Odds
9/20
Bet now

Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Odds

Current season

Logo Real Madrid Logo Athletic Bilbao
20 Wins 15
5 Lost 4
6 Draws 12
2.06 GF per game 1.58
1 GA per game 0.81
5.65 Corners per game 5.39
1.58 Yellow cards per game 1.77

La Liga: previous matches in the tournament

Real Madrid
13.04.25
Alavés
Real Madrid
W
05.04.25
Real Madrid
Valencia
L
29.03.25
Real Madrid
Leganés
W
15.03.25
Villarreal
Real Madrid
W
09.03.25
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
W
01.03.25
Real Betis
Real Madrid
L
23.02.25
Real Madrid
Girona
W
15.02.25
Osasuna
Real Madrid
D
08.02.25
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
D
01.02.25
Espanyol
Real Madrid
L
25.01.25
Valladolid
Real Madrid
W
19.01.25
Real Madrid
Las Palmas
W
03.01.25
Valencia
Real Madrid
W
22.12.24
Real Madrid
Sevilla
W
14.12.24
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
D
07.12.24
Girona
Real Madrid
W
04.12.24
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
L
01.12.24
Real Madrid
Getafe
W
24.11.24
Leganés
Real Madrid
W
09.11.24
Real Madrid
Osasuna
W
26.10.24
Real Madrid
Barcelona
L
19.10.24
Celta
Real Madrid
W
05.10.24
Real Madrid
Villarreal
W
29.09.24
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
D
24.09.24
Real Madrid
Alavés
W
21.09.24
Real Madrid
Espanyol
W
14.09.24
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid
W
01.09.24
Real Madrid
Real Betis
W
29.08.24
Las Palmas
Real Madrid
D
25.08.24
Real Madrid
Valladolid
W
18.08.24
Mallorca
Real Madrid
D
More matches
Athletic Bilbao
13.04.25
Athletic Bilbao
Rayo Vallecano
W
06.04.25
Villarreal
Athletic Bilbao
D
30.03.25
Athletic Bilbao
Osasuna
D
16.03.25
Sevilla
Athletic Bilbao
W
09.03.25
Athletic Bilbao
Mallorca
D
01.03.25
Atlético Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
L
23.02.25
Athletic Bilbao
Valladolid
W
16.02.25
Espanyol
Athletic Bilbao
D
08.02.25
Athletic Bilbao
Girona
W
02.02.25
Real Betis
Athletic Bilbao
D
26.01.25
Athletic Bilbao
Leganés
D
19.01.25
Celta
Athletic Bilbao
W
21.12.24
Osasuna
Athletic Bilbao
W
15.12.24
Alavés
Athletic Bilbao
D
08.12.24
Athletic Bilbao
Villarreal
W
04.12.24
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
W
01.12.24
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Bilbao
W
24.11.24
Athletic Bilbao
Real Sociedad
W
10.11.24
Valladolid
Athletic Bilbao
D
03.11.24
Athletic Bilbao
Real Betis
D
28.10.24
Mallorca
Athletic Bilbao
D
19.10.24
Athletic Bilbao
Espanyol
W
06.10.24
Girona
Athletic Bilbao
L
29.09.24
Athletic Bilbao
Sevilla
D
22.09.24
Athletic Bilbao
Celta
W
19.09.24
Leganés
Athletic Bilbao
W
15.09.24
Las Palmas
Athletic Bilbao
W
31.08.24
Athletic Bilbao
Atlético Madrid
L
28.08.24
Athletic Bilbao
Valencia
W
24.08.24
Barcelona
Athletic Bilbao
L
15.08.24
Athletic Bilbao
Getafe
D
More matches

H2H: Real Madrid — Athletic Bilbao

La Liga 2024-2025
04.12.24
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
La Liga 2023-2024
31.03.24
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
12.08.23
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
La Liga 2022-2023
04.06.23
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
22.01.23
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
Copa del Rey 2021-2022
03.02.22
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
La Liga 2021-2022
22.12.21
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
01.12.21
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
La Liga 2020-2021
16.05.21
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
Super Cup Spain 2021
14.01.21
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
La Liga 2020-2021
15.12.20
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
La Liga 2019-2020
05.07.20
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
22.12.19
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
La Liga 2018-2019
21.04.19
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
15.09.18
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
La Liga 2017-2018
18.04.18
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
02.12.17
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
La Liga 2016-2017
18.03.17
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
23.10.16
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
La Liga 2015-2016
13.02.16
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
23.09.15
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
La Liga 2014-2015
07.03.15
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
05.10.14
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
La Liga 2013-2014
01.02.14
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
1
:
1
31.08.13
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
3
:
1
La Liga 2012-2013
13.04.13
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
0
:
3
16.11.12
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
5
:
1
La Liga 2011-2012
01.05.12
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
0
:
3
21.01.12
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
4
:
1
La Liga 2010-2011
08.04.11
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
0
:
3
19.11.10
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
5
:
1
La Liga 2009-2010
07.05.10
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
5
:
1
15.01.10
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
1
:
0
La Liga 2008-2009
13.03.09
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
2
:
5
25.10.08
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
3
:
2
La Liga 2007-2008
26.04.08
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
3
:
0
07.12.07
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
0
:
1
La Liga 2006-2007
28.04.07
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
1
:
4
02.12.06
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
2
:
1
La Liga 2005-2006
10.02.06
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
0
:
2
Copa del Rey 2005-2006
12.01.06
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
4
:
0
03.01.06
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
0
:
1
La Liga 2005-2006
21.09.05
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
3
:
1
La Liga 2004-2005
18.02.05
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
0
:
2
24.09.04
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
2
:
1
More matches

Tables

Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Barcelona
32 23 4 5 88:32 73
2
Real Madrid
31 20 6 5 64:31 66
3
Atlético Madrid
32 18 9 5 53:27 63
4
Athletic Bilbao
31 15 12 4 49:25 57
5
Villarreal
30 14 9 7 53:40 51
6
Real Betis
31 13 9 9 42:39 48
7
Mallorca
32 12 8 12 31:37 44
8
Celta
32 12 7 13 47:49 43
9
Rayo Vallecano
32 10 11 11 35:39 41
10
Real Sociedad
31 12 5 14 30:34 41
11
Getafe
32 10 9 13 31:29 39
12
Espanyol
31 10 8 13 34:40 38
13
Osasuna
31 8 14 9 36:44 38
14
Valencia
32 9 11 12 36:48 38
15
Sevilla
31 9 9 13 34:42 36
16
Girona
31 9 7 15 38:48 34
17
Las Palmas
32 8 8 16 38:52 32
18
Alavés
31 7 9 15 33:45 30
19
Leganés
32 6 11 15 29:48 29
20
Valladolid
31 4 4 23 21:73 16
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Barcelona
16 12 1 3 45:14 37
2
Real Madrid
15 12 1 2 37:16 37
3
Atlético Madrid
16 11 4 1 31:14 37
4
Athletic Bilbao
16 9 6 1 30:10 33
5
Celta
16 9 3 4 25:17 30
6
Real Betis
16 8 5 3 25:18 29
7
Osasuna
16 7 6 3 28:23 27
8
Valencia
16 8 3 5 22:18 27
9
Espanyol
16 7 6 3 20:16 27
10
Mallorca
17 6 6 5 17:18 24
11
Real Sociedad
16 7 2 7 17:17 23
12
Villarreal
14 5 6 3 29:21 21
13
Girona
15 6 3 6 25:22 21
14
Rayo Vallecano
16 5 6 5 21:24 21
15
Getafe
16 4 7 5 14:14 19
16
Sevilla
15 5 4 6 13:18 19
17
Leganés
16 5 3 8 16:24 18
18
Las Palmas
16 4 5 7 19:24 17
19
Alavés
15 4 4 7 11:16 16
20
Valladolid
15 3 4 8 8:25 13
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Barcelona
16 11 3 2 43:18 36
2
Villarreal
16 9 3 4 24:19 30
3
Real Madrid
16 8 5 3 27:15 29
4
Atlético Madrid
16 7 5 4 22:13 26
5
Athletic Bilbao
15 6 6 3 19:15 24
6
Getafe
16 6 2 8 17:15 20
7
Rayo Vallecano
16 5 5 6 14:15 20
8
Mallorca
15 6 2 7 14:19 20
9
Real Betis
15 5 4 6 17:21 19
10
Real Sociedad
15 5 3 7 13:17 18
11
Sevilla
16 4 5 7 21:24 17
12
Las Palmas
16 4 3 9 19:28 15
13
Alavés
16 3 5 8 22:29 14
14
Celta
16 3 4 9 22:32 13
15
Girona
16 3 4 9 13:26 13
16
Espanyol
15 3 2 10 14:24 11
17
Leganés
16 1 8 7 13:24 11
18
Osasuna
15 1 8 6 8:21 11
19
Valencia
16 1 8 7 14:30 11
20
Valladolid
16 1 0 15 13:48 3

Team lineups

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
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